New Zealand’s upcoming election could influence its foreign policy stance toward U.S. President Donald Trump, according to analysts. The focus of the campaign is expected to be on cost of living issues, but the outcome may also determine whether Wellington continues its cautious approach to Trump or adopts a more independent foreign policy.

The major political parties are locked in a close contest ahead of Saturday’s vote. The next government’s approach to Washington, as well as its defense priorities, could depend on smaller parties needed to form a coalition. Analysts suggest the election outcome may signal a shift in New Zealand’s diplomatic strategy toward the United States.

This follows a broader political shift in the United States, where Democrats have gained significant control in Congress. The midterm elections saw a strong Democratic wave, driven by voter anger over Trump’s policies, including the U.S.-Iran conflict, which contributed to rising living costs. The results marked a personal defeat for Trump, with Democrats sweeping into his traditional Republican strongholds.

The U.S. Political landscape has changed dramatically, with Trump facing a transformed and hostile environment. Internal Republican polling showed declining approval ratings after the Trump administration’s actions in February. Meanwhile, Trump has acknowledged his losses, attributing them to his adherence to his campaign promises.

The Democratic takeover of Congress may lead to increased scrutiny of Trump’s policies and a potential shift in U.S. Foreign relations. New Zealand’s election, while focused on domestic issues, could reflect broader global shifts in how nations engage with the U.S. Under Trump’s leadership.